The ONI for the April, May, and June 2026 season is +1.0 degrees Celsius, a warm, leaning towards El Nino state. NOAA calls an El Nino event only when the index reaches +0.5 or above for five consecutive seasons, and a La Nina when it reaches -0.5 or below. Source NOAA Climate Prediction Center, compiled and verified by IPOSS, updated monthly.
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| Season | ONI (°C) |
|---|---|
| AMJ 2026 | +1.0 |
| MAM 2026 | +0.5 |
| FMA 2026 | +0.1 |
| JFM 2026 | -0.2 |
| DJF 2026 | -0.4 |